"The African Union (AU) is currently developing a Continental Early Warning System (CEWS) in Africa ... to detect social situations that may evolve into conflict. Clearly, this is an ambitious undertaking as there are so many kinds of conflicts on the continent, triggered by so many different causes. In this study the capability of the AU to create an early warning system that looks into the causes of all kinds of conflicts in the Horn of Africa is discussed." (Quoted from product description)